Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#265
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace83.6#6
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#329
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 36.1% 22.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 47.1% 76.8% 44.9%
.500 or above in Conference 88.6% 96.6% 88.0%
Conference Champion 30.6% 47.5% 29.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four16.1% 15.3% 16.2%
First Round16.5% 29.5% 15.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego St. (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 31 - 11
Quad 414 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 77   @ San Diego St. L 71-87 7%    
  Nov 09, 2019 58   @ Wichita St. L 72-90 4%    
  Nov 15, 2019 165   @ South Dakota L 76-85 21%    
  Nov 19, 2019 57   @ Arkansas L 78-96 5%    
  Nov 23, 2019 133   @ Northern Kentucky L 77-88 17%    
  Nov 25, 2019 198   @ Montana L 77-83 29%    
  Nov 30, 2019 281   Lamar W 84-80 65%    
  Dec 04, 2019 8   @ Gonzaga L 74-100 1%    
  Dec 18, 2019 95   @ Nevada L 78-91 13%    
  Dec 21, 2019 16   @ Oregon L 64-87 3%    
  Dec 28, 2019 65   @ Arizona St. L 79-96 7%    
  Dec 30, 2019 61   @ Texas A&M L 73-91 7%    
  Jan 04, 2020 346   Southern W 83-72 83%    
  Jan 06, 2020 345   Alcorn St. W 84-73 82%    
  Jan 11, 2020 277   Prairie View W 88-84 63%    
  Jan 18, 2020 303   @ Jackson St. L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 20, 2020 269   @ Grambling St. L 82-85 41%    
  Jan 25, 2020 353   Mississippi Valley W 90-75 89%    
  Jan 27, 2020 343   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-71 82%    
  Feb 01, 2020 352   @ Alabama A&M W 80-71 76%    
  Feb 03, 2020 332   @ Alabama St. W 82-79 58%    
  Feb 08, 2020 277   @ Prairie View L 85-87 43%    
  Feb 15, 2020 303   Jackson St. W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 17, 2020 269   Grambling St. W 85-82 60%    
  Feb 22, 2020 353   @ Mississippi Valley W 87-78 77%    
  Feb 24, 2020 343   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 29, 2020 352   Alabama A&M W 83-68 88%    
  Mar 02, 2020 332   Alabama St. W 85-76 76%    
  Mar 05, 2020 346   @ Southern W 80-75 66%    
  Mar 07, 2020 345   @ Alcorn St. W 81-76 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.3 5.9 8.0 7.7 4.6 1.6 30.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 4.2 6.8 6.4 2.6 0.5 21.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.3 5.7 3.4 1.0 0.1 16.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.8 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.1 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.9 3.1 4.4 6.3 8.6 10.6 12.1 12.7 13.3 10.6 8.2 4.6 1.6 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 100.0% 4.6    4.4 0.1
16-2 94.4% 7.7    6.7 1.0 0.0
15-3 75.2% 8.0    5.5 2.4 0.1
14-4 44.4% 5.9    2.8 2.5 0.6 0.0
13-5 17.9% 2.3    0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 30.6% 30.6 21.8 7.1 1.4 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 67.5% 67.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5
17-1 4.6% 58.4% 58.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.9
16-2 8.2% 47.2% 47.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.7 4.3
15-3 10.6% 38.8% 38.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.4 6.5
14-4 13.3% 29.9% 29.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.7 9.3
13-5 12.7% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 0.0 3.1 9.6
12-6 12.1% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0 10.0
11-7 10.6% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 1.3 9.3
10-8 8.6% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.8 7.8
9-9 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.5 5.9
8-10 4.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.2 4.3
7-11 3.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 3.0
6-12 1.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-13 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 19.5 76.2 0.0%